DTC profitability · 20 min setup

DTC SKU Profit × Inventory Spend Allocator

A formula-driven workbook that combines SKU contribution after ads, allowable CPA and inventory cover to decide where the next ad dollar should go.

Direct verdict

A winning ROAS can still drain cash—or sell you out of your best SKU. Protect cash by scaling only products that are profitable and available to sell.

Use this resource when

DTC founders allocating incremental ad budget by SKUEcommerce growth teams balancing contribution with stockOperators diagnosing high-ROAS products that still destroy cash
Free Excel workbook

Download the working file.

This is the complete editable template—not a PDF preview. Add your own account data, owners and decisions.

Formula-driven scorecardEditable inputsNo locked cells

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01

Set your commercial guardrails

Enter the contribution target, next budget and healthy inventory range that fit your own economics. Every default is illustrative and editable; none is presented as a universal ROAS or CAC benchmark.

02

Calculate SKU contribution after ads

Separate discounts, returns, COGS, shipping, payment fees and allocated ad spend so blended ROAS cannot hide a weak contribution margin.

03

Protect against stockout

Combine on-hand units, inbound stock and average daily velocity to estimate days of cover. A profitable SKU below the selected minimum moves to PROTECT instead of receiving more demand.

04

Allocate the next dollar

The decision board returns SCALE, PROTECT, RECOVER, PAUSE or RECOVER DATA. The allocator weights eligible SKUs and caps the next budget by demand-safe inventory capacity.

SKU decision board preview showing contribution, inventory risk and SCALE, PROTECT and RECOVER states
Evidence, not decoration.Illustrative SKU data. The example demonstrates user-owned decision rules; it is not a performance benchmark.

Practical questions

Questions that change the decision

Is ROAS used to allocate the budget?

It remains a diagnostic metric, but the allocation is driven by SKU contribution after ads, allowable CPA, inventory health and data quality.

Does the workbook forecast demand?

No. Days of cover and demand-safe extra orders use the velocity and inventory inputs you provide. Treat them as operating estimates and verify them with your inventory system.

What happens when cost or tracking data is missing?

The SKU returns RECOVER DATA rather than a confident allocation, so incomplete inputs cannot silently create a SCALE decision.

Sources and platform documentation

Platform features change. These links point to the primary documentation used for the implementation details above.

  1. Google Ads: cart data reporting

Found a cash leak?

Turn the SKU flag into a recovery plan.

Use the Free Audit or the $497 Budget Recovery Sprint to connect product economics, account evidence and the next budget decision.

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